609 - Social Security: What Went Wrong?
Social Security reform legislation of 1983 purported to address that system’s funding, and stabilize the program into the 2060s -- beyond the lifetime of baby boomers. But the Social Security trust fund is now projected to be depleted in 2034. What went wrong? What did the 1983 system’s architects project that turned out to be over-optimistic? (Hint: it wasn’t demographics.) This session will compare the demographic and economic realities of today to what those 1983 folks projected. Are there any lessons to be learned that we can apply to current model-building approaches?
Speakers:
Jerry Mingione
Richard Jackson
Credits:
CPD Credit: 1.50 EA Core Credit: 0.00 EA Ethics Credit: 0.00 EA Non-Core Credit: 1.50 EA Formal Credit: 1.50-
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December 04
Understanding Model Risk and the Actuary’s Duties Under ASOP 56
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